Article http://dx.doi.org/10.26855/oajrces.2025.06.005

Responses of Naturally Suitable Habitats of Common Tree Species in Eastern China to Climate Change

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Zhaoyi Liu

Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095, Jiangsu, China.

*Corresponding author:Zhaoyi Liu

Published: August 28,2025

Abstract

The escalating impacts of global climate change are reshaping the geographic distribution patterns of plant species, with profound implications for ecosystem stability and function. This study employs the BIOMOD2 modeling framework to project the spatial dynamics of suitable habitats for 684 common tree species in eastern China under multiple future climate scenarios. Results reveal that most species' habitats are expected to migrate toward higher latitudes and elevations, with the magnitude of this shift directly proportional to greenhouse gas emission levels. Notably, plant functional traits—including life form and morphological characteristics—exert significant regulatory effects on these distributional changes. These findings elucidate the adaptive mechanisms of plant species in response to climatic shifts, providing critical scientific insights for biodiversity conservation and ecosystem management strategies. By integrating ecological niche modeling with climate projections, this research underscores the urgent need for proactive conservation measures to mitigate the ecological disruptions caused by habitat shifts. These findings underscore the critical role of functional traits in mediating climate responses, while highlighting the urgency of emission mitigation to reduce biotic homogenization risks. The BIOMOD2 framework proves robust in addressing multi-species distributional uncertainties under global change scenarios.

Keywords

Climate warming; Species distribution; Species migration

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How to cite this paper

Responses of Naturally Suitable Habitats of Common Tree Species in Eastern China to Climate Change

How to cite this paper: Zhaoyi Liu(2025) Responses of Naturally Suitable Habitats of Common Tree Species in Eastern China to Climate ChangeOAJRC Environmental Science6(1), 45-49.

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.26855/oajrces.2025.06.005